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Between the years 2030 to 2040 the majority of Jews will be living in Israel rather than in the Diaspora, where communities are aging. The very concept" of projections "is a difficult one." The present estimate for Orthodox Jews in Eretz Yisrael is between 900 thousand and one million; in North America, between 550-650 thousand; and in the rest of the world between 120-150 thousand, making for a total of between 1.67-1.8 million In virtually every city in the world, institutional Orthodoxy is on the rise.Ira Sheskin of the University of Miami, a principal architect of the 2000 National Jewish Population Survey, which is currently under way, called the recent projections "a great starting point for discussion." But, he added: "Think if this were the year 1900, what could we have predicted? As an example, in 1975 there were 480 Chabad institutions worldwide. Or take the number of Yeshivas and Kollelim that have been established outside of North America and Israel in the last ten years.These sobering figures reflect how severely Jewish population growth has slowed down over the past 40 years.Even a fertility increase of 0.4% will add millions of Jews over the next 50 years. As we know, the distribution of the Jewish population now is completely different from before WW II.(The Algerian Jews had French citizenship already in Algeria and had automatic rights of immigration to France.) The vitality of Orthodoxy in France today is largely a result of these immigrants, giving France a high kiruv potential to this day.Many people do not realize how large and vital the Jewish populations of these Moslem-Arab countries were, with our historical consciousness swamped by Holocaust and pre-Holocaust literature.Some 150 Iraqi Jews have managed to leave the country in the past five years, leaving just 38 Jews in Baghdad, and a handful in the Kurdish-controlled northern areas of the country. Whereas Baghdad once had 53 active synagogues, only one remains open.
Among the study's conclusions was that Israel would be home to the world's largest Jewish community as early as 2020, and the majority of the world's Jews by 2050.In 2001, 8 countries had a Jewish population of 100,000 or more; another 5 countries had 50,000 or more.